Study Shows Risk of Second Cancer Changes After Early Breast Cancer
Guest Contributor
For many women who have faced early breast cancer, the question of whether they are at significant risk of developing a second cancer often looms large. A new long-term study published in The BMJ offers reassuring news: the risk of a second primary cancer after early breast cancer is relatively low. This finding provides a grounded perspective to survivors and clinicians alike, particularly as concerns about recurrence or new cancers can heavily influence post-treatment decisions and emotional well-being.

Researchers analyzed data from 476,373 women in England who were diagnosed with early invasive breast cancer between 1993 and 2016. All participants were between the ages of 20 and 75 at the time of diagnosis and had undergone surgery. By following these women for up to 20 years, the study aimed to clarify the long-term risks of developing second primary cancers, both breast and non-breast, and how those risks compare to the general population.
One of the key takeaways is that while breast cancer survivors do have a slightly elevated risk of developing a second cancer, the increase is modest. By the 20-year mark, 13.6% of women in the study had developed a non-breast cancer—primarily cancers of the womb, lung, or bowel—compared to an expected 11.5% in the general population. Similarly, 5.6% developed contralateral breast cancer (cancer in the opposite breast), which is 3.1% more than expected.
These findings are particularly relevant for those concerned about long-term health after early breast cancer treatment. The keyword phrase “risk of second cancer after breast cancer” is understandably a frequent search among survivors, and this study helps provide data-driven clarity. The researchers emphasized that while the risk is real, it is not as pronounced as many might fear.
Age at the time of initial diagnosis played a role in the type and likelihood of second cancers. For instance, women diagnosed at age 60 had a 17% risk of developing a non-breast cancer and a 5% risk of contralateral breast cancer by age 80. For women diagnosed at 40, the estimated 20-year risk was 6% for both types of second cancers. These figures compare to 15% and 3% respectively for non-breast and contralateral breast cancers in the general population for similarly aged women.
The study also examined how different adjuvant treatments—therapies given after surgery—might influence the development of second cancers. Radiotherapy was associated with a higher incidence of contralateral breast and lung cancers. Endocrine therapy, commonly used to block hormone receptors, was linked to an increased risk of uterine cancer, though it also appeared to reduce the risk of contralateral breast cancer. Chemotherapy was associated with a small increase in the risk of acute leukemia.
Despite these associations, the researchers were careful to note that the benefits of adjuvant therapies in preventing breast cancer recurrence generally outweigh the small increased risks of second cancers. They estimate that about 7% of the excess second cancers observed may be attributable to these treatments. I found this detail striking—it underscores the importance of weighing both the benefits and risks of treatment, but also reinforces that these therapies remain essential tools in breast cancer care.
It’s also important to recognize the limitations of the study. The researchers acknowledged that some variables may have been affected by incomplete data in cancer registries. Moreover, the study did not account for lifestyle factors such as smoking, genetic predispositions, or family history—all of which could influence cancer risk. Nevertheless, the breadth and duration of the study make its findings valuable for informing clinical practice and patient counseling.
In a related opinion article, breast cancer survivors emphasized how difficult it can be to find detailed, reliable information about the risk of second cancers. They welcomed the study’s findings and called for this kind of data to be more readily available to patients. While not everyone wants exhaustive information at the time of diagnosis, the option to access it later is crucial for those who do. “Information on risks should be readily available,” they wrote. “It helps us to plan our lives and think ahead to the future.”
This sentiment reflects a broader need for transparency and patient-centered communication in oncology. Understanding the long-term implications of treatment allows survivors to make informed decisions and approach the future with greater confidence. For clinicians, having robust data on the likelihood of second cancers after breast cancer can support more nuanced discussions about treatment options and survivorship care plans.
Ultimately, this study offers a hopeful message: while vigilance remains important, the overall risk of developing a second cancer after early breast cancer is relatively low. For many survivors, this knowledge can provide a measure of peace as they move forward in their recovery and long-term health planning.